RTSG Falsifiable Predictions — Complete Registry¶
Jean-Paul Niko · RTSG BuildNet · 2026
Purpose¶
Every scientific framework must be falsifiable. This page is the complete registry of RTSG's testable predictions — organized by domain, with measurement method, timeline, and current status. If any prediction is falsified, the corresponding RTSG claim is weakened or killed. This registry is maintained honestly: failed predictions are documented, not hidden.
Cosmology¶
| Prediction | Measurement | Timeline | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| \(\Lambda_{\text{eff}}(z)\) weak time-dependence (\(w \neq -1\)) | DESI BAO \(w(z)\) | 2026-2028 | Testable |
| \(Q \to B\) conversion freezes before BBN | BBN element abundances | Established | ✅ Consistent |
| GL critical exponents in large-scale structure | N-body sims + observations | Testable | Open |
| \(dA/dt \propto d\chi/dt\) (holographic expansion) | Expansion rate vs structure formation | Indirect | Open |
| Dark matter = Stage 0 QS (no EM interaction) | Direct detection experiments | Ongoing | Compatible with null results |
Quantum Gravity¶
| Prediction | Measurement | Timeline | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Graviton is exactly massless (Goldstone protection) | Gravitational wave observations | Ongoing | ✅ Consistent (\(m_g < 10^{-22}\) eV) |
| Graviton is spin-2 | GW polarization | Ongoing | ✅ Consistent |
| No graviton mass from quantum corrections | Theoretical — protected by Goldstone theorem | N/A | Structural prediction |
Yang-Mills / QCD¶
| Prediction | Measurement | Timeline | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mass gap \(\Delta = 1/\xi_W \approx 426\) MeV | Lattice QCD glueball mass | 2027+ | Testable |
| Confinement \(\leftrightarrow\) \(\langle W \rangle = 0\) (disordered phase) | Lattice QCD | Confirmed | ✅ Verified |
| Deconfinement at high \(T\) = GL phase transition | Heavy-ion collisions (RHIC, LHC) | Confirmed | ✅ Verified |
Black Holes¶
| Prediction | Measurement | Timeline | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lyapunov exponent \(\lambda = \kappa_H\) at horizon | QNM ring-down observations | Established | ✅ Established physics |
| Photon sphere at \(r = 3M\): complexification rate = collapse rate | EHT observations | Ongoing | Consistent |
| Jet power \(\propto \kappa_{\text{Kerr}} - \lambda_2\) | X-ray binary observations | Testable | Open |
| \(t_{\text{kin}} = S/\kappa\) (kinetic timescale) | BH thermodynamics | Established | ✅ Consistent |
Neuroscience / Consciousness¶
| Prediction | Measurement | Timeline | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| \(\gamma\)-oscillation power $\sim | W_0 | ^2$ (condensate strength) | EEG/MEG |
| \(\lambda < 0 \to \lambda > 0\) transition = cognitive dissolution | Clinical EEG under anesthesia | Testable | Open |
| Filter decomposition recoverable from text corpora | NLP analysis (PRISM) | Active | Proof of concept complete |
| Cognitive biometric stability over time | Longitudinal corpus analysis | Testable | Open |
| Meditation reduces \(\sigma\) (noise in CS) | EEG coherence measures | Testable | Consistent with existing data |
Cancer / Aging¶
| Prediction | Measurement | Timeline | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cancer = condensate collapse (\(W_0 \to 0\)) | Gene expression profiling | Testable | Framework consistent with ATRA/APL |
| Gompertz law from GL barrier erosion | Epidemiological data | Established | ✅ Derived |
| Condensate restoration → redifferentiation | Drug screening + clinical | Testable | ATRA proof of concept exists |
| Aging interventions that maintain \(W_0\) reduce cancer | Longitudinal studies | Testable (long timeline) | Open |
Fluid Dynamics (Navier-Stokes)¶
| Prediction | Measurement | Timeline | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| GL critical exponents near singularity (\(\nu = 1/2\)) | DNS at \(Re > 10^6\) | Testable | Open |
| \(\sup_K \int \mathcal{D}_K^+ dt < \infty\) ↔ regularity | Numerical verification | Active | Open |
| GL energy barrier prevents finite-time blowup | Mathematical proof | Open | 80% confidence |
Information Theory¶
| Prediction | Measurement | Timeline | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Instantiation channel capacity bounded by \(W_0\) | Cognitive performance vs EEG | Testable | Open |
| Landauer floor \(kT \ln 2\) applies to all CS operations | Thermodynamic measurements | Established | ✅ Established physics |
| Filter cascade inequality: \(I_{\text{eff}} \leq \prod_j F_j \cdot I_{\text{raw}}\) | Cognitive testing with controlled filter manipulation | Testable | Open |
Meta-Predictions¶
These are structural predictions about the framework itself:
-
Unification: If RTSG is correct, all future discoveries in physics should be expressible as regimes of the GL action. Any phenomenon requiring a genuinely new action would falsify the universality claim.
-
Consciousness-gravity identity: If consciousness is ever demonstrated to have no physical correlate (strong dualism proven), RTSG is falsified.
-
Arrow of complexification: If the universe is observed to decrease in total relational structure (reversing the arrow of time), RTSG is falsified.
Killed Predictions / Failed Approaches¶
Honesty requires documenting what didn't work:
| Claim | Status | What Happened |
|---|---|---|
| Bounded bridge → RH | KILLED | GPT's no-go theorem: \(K = 0\) forced on strongly stable LP semigroup |
| Krein space BRST | KILLED | Gemini review: \(P_+\) projection not gauge-invariant |
| RH confidence 88% | DOWNGRADED | Now 25% for full proof, 95% for framework |
These failures are documented at Proved & Killed.
How to Falsify RTSG¶
The cleanest falsifications would be:
- Graviton with mass — would falsify the Goldstone mechanism
- \(w(z)\) exactly \(-1\) to arbitrary precision — would falsify dynamic dark energy
- No mass gap in lattice QCD — would falsify the YM derivation
- Cancer unresponsive to any condensate restoration — would weaken the cancer framework
- Consciousness demonstrated without physical correlate — would falsify the co-primordial thesis
We invite these tests. If RTSG survives, it survives on merit.
Jean-Paul Niko · jeanpaulniko@proton.me · smarthub.my